Saturday, May 2, 2015

Again Kiev is trying "Minsk-2" to Torpedo

Again Kiev is trying "Minsk-2" to Torpedo

Why has Kiev stubbornly returned to the subject of the introduction of peacekeepers in the Donbass?

Russian President Vladimir Putin during talks in the "Norman format" agreed with a possible deployment of a peacekeeping contingent in the Donbass. This May 1, a press service of the President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko reports, "In the context of discussions for a peaceful settlement, President Putin agreed with the possibility of deployment of peacekeeping contingent in the Donbass", - was said in a statement on the presidential website. The official statement of the Kremlin following talks, had no mention of the fact that this question of the introduction of peacekeepers appeared. 

Later, Post Ukrainian colleagues said spokesman Vladimir Putin, Dmitry Peskov. "The fact that the Russian side had not challenged the idea of peacekeepers, but also to accept it or that the Russian side, any other country, which guarantees the Minsk Agreement, can not determine, because it is first of all, a must consent for the parties to the conflict first- that is, as a: Kyiv and b: Donbass ", - said the representative of the Kremlin. 

Sands pointed out that there is a signed and representatives of Kiev, and representatives of Donbass and guaranteed Russia, France and Germany lyrics Minsk arrangements. "Prior to these specific items will be made, to raise the addition of other issues we believe are absolutely wrong," - said the press secretary of the president. That is the interpretation Peskov, Moscow believes that the first performance of the Minsk Agreement must be implemented, and then, if there grows such a need left -for putting peacekeepers could be agreed. 

Image result for Sergei Lavrov
Two weeks ago, at the end of the previous meeting "format in Normandy" Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said that the idea of the introduction of peacekeepers in the Ukraine did not develop in the course of negotiations. According to him, Ukrainian Foreign Minister referred to this issue, but none of the ministers of other countries would react. And yet a week earlier, Sergei Lavrov said that the issue of peacekeeping in the conflict zone in Ukraine can not be discussed without the participation of Luhansk and Donetsk. - 

"I think that in itself peacekeeping format is not a threat to the interests of neither Russia nor for Donbass republics" - said a leading expert of the Center for Military-Political Studies, Moscow State Institute Mikhail Alexandrov. - The question is how it will be implemented in practice. I think Vladimir Putin was right to not outright contest the idea of bringing the peacekeepers. Most likely, he advised members of the "Norman Quartet" to discuss it with the leadership of the DNI and the LC first though. As these republics are unlikely to agree on a format of peacemaking, which will go to their detriment. 

For example, Poroshenko proposes to block the border with Russia, the Donets Basin. But this is totally unrealistic. DNR and LC will not allow that. A lot depends on the composition of the peacekeeping contingent. When it comes to the introduction of the CSTO troops in Donbass, this is acceptable. But NATO forces in the New Russia, even as peacekeepers, of course, no one sane is waiting to happen. 

The troops of neutral countries are unlikely to be effective because they, most likely, to its functions will be taken formally. If, say, the Ukrainian army will go on the offensive, they can just walk away from the scene of fighting. They have their own interests in the Ukraine, and die for peace in the Donbass, they will not. I still have a suspicion that the whole story of the peacekeeping operation ventured Kiev to torpedo the whole implementation of the Minsk Agreements totally. 

Under the pretext that the DNI and LC refuse to let NATO peacekeepers, Kiev may declare that there is no basis for the implementation of these agreements. Therefore it is necessary to watch how the situation will develop in practice. While we see that the members of the "Norman Quartet" - France and Germany, do not seek to torpedo the "Minsk-2". At least, in the final statement on the results of the last meeting had underlined the need to comply with all points of the agreements. 

A theme of the introduction of peacekeepers sounded just as a side. - But the introduction of even the CSTO peacekeepers would mean freezing the conflict in its current borders. Despite the fact that the DNI and LC have repeatedly stated that they do not accept a situation in which half of the territory of Donetsk and Lugansk Ukrainian republics controlled by the security forces. - LC and the DNI is not satisfied, but seemingly it will suit Russia. 

I understand that today the Kremlin is trying not to aggravate relations with the West. Besides, Moscow does not want to overthrow the current regime in Kiev and to take on responsibility for Ukraine. With regard to the Donbass republics, then there is a maneuver for bargaining. If they remain a part of Ukraine, they can request that it is passed under the control of the entire territory of the Donetsk and Lugansk former areas. And it is refusing to return them to these areas can be a reason for the DNI and LC will refuse to return to the Ukraine. 

For all that, the Kremlin in case of new aggression from the Ukraine may recognize the independence of New Russia. - Topic I peacekeepers we raised ever since the proclamation of Donetsk People's Republic, - says member of the National Council DNI Miroslav Rudenko .- We already knew that really can stop the aggression of Kiev only peacekeepers from Russia. And then really had a chance to avoid bloodshed by their input. But under the cover of NATO peacekeepers, probably just went to the terror of the junta against the people of Kiev Donbass.

It was this after the defeat at Debaltseve that seeking NATO to Kiev became paramount. But in this version, we certainly will not go for. - Putting peacekeepers would deprive the possibility of the DNI and the LC to expand its borders to the territories where a year ago, a referendum on the sovereignty of republics? - I was in the first days of the birth of the People's Republic of Donetsk and I think that on those areas where people voted for the NPT, and that almost all of the Donetsk region, should be subject to the sovereignty of our country. The vast majority of Slavyansk, Kramatorsk, and other security forces occupied cities DNR does not support or do not support punitive operation Kiev junta. We support the fact that this issue was resolved by political means. But if Ukraine again will start a war, we will not only defend, but also try to release all the Donbass.

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